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2019 Autumn - Disruptions in agricultural trade

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FPJ1601D - Every, M (2019), A ‘Great Deal’ of nonsense: why US-China trade numbers don’t add up

FPJ1601D - Every, M (2019), A ‘Great Deal’ of nonsense: why US-China trade numbers don’t add up, in Farm Policy Journal, vol. 16, no. 1, Autumn 2019, pp. 12-16, Surry Hills, Australia.

Markets have been taking a very optimistic view of ongoing United States (US)-China trade negotiations in early 2019. China has offered to increase imports from the US by US$1 trillion to eliminate the bilateral trade deficit by 2024.
However, a serious look at the structure of US-China trade shows this purported deal cannot and will not be achieved. As such, the current calm in financial markets will not last either. There is much talk of a ‘Great Deal’, but logic, mathematics, and politics suggest this is a great deal of nonsense.

$12.10


 
 




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